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TdF: Luke’s Pre-TT Analysis

I’m writing this early Saturday morning just before the Stage 20 individual time trial.  Lance locked the top podium spot long ago and the real competitive action has been the battle for top ten placings in the GC (overall cumulative time).  Here’s how I handicap the final top ten (eleven, actually), all the position changes will be due to today’s ITT:

 11.  Oscar Pereiro will slip from 10th to 11th

10.  Christophe Moreau will nip past Pereiro to move into the top ten and claim the top Frenchie slot

9.    Cadel Evans, who’s had a strong week, will see Landis & Vino out-TT him dropping two spots

8.    Francisco Mancebo will TT like a climber and plummet from 5th to 8th, top Spaniard

7.    Landis has had an OK first tour as a team leader and gut out a strong TT to jump two spots

6.    ‘Chicken’ Rasmussen, another climber who can’t TT, will plummet off the podium to 6th

5.    Vino, he of the kamikaze racing style, will leapfrog from 8th to 5th

4.     Levi, who gets a little better every year, will just miss the podium, moving from 6th to 4th

3.     Basso, said to a much improved TTer, will lose 2nd by a narrow margin to a blitzkrieg from Der Kaiser, my pick for 2006’s TdF champion

2.     Ullrich will charge through the TT course pushing a huge gear and reclaim some of his pride

1.     Armstrong will win the ITT and push his final GC margin over 5 minutes, he has completely controlled the tour and was never once challenged seriously over 3 arduous weeks

 Three Americans in the Top Ten in Paris!  American cycling has arrived, literally.

Luke

For our additional coverage of Le Tour, click here. For a great TdF blog click here.

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3 Responses to “TdF: Luke’s Pre-TT Analysis”

  1. 1
    Calblog Says:

    LA Times Watch: Shooting Fish in a Barrel

  2. 2
    Bart D. Vaney Says:

    Let me know when it’s all over and I can stop pretending to give a rats ass about guys on bikes. Even Armstrong seems despondent about riding all over France with his fellow numbbutts. I picture him deciding to retire when girlfriend Sheryl Crow asked, “If it makes you happy, then why the hell are you so sad.” Seven weeks until NFL kickoff. Go Bengals!

  3. 3
    Tour de France 2005 Says:

    rec.bicycles.racing | TdF Stage 20 summary Fat Cyclist | A Letter to Lance Armstrong Independent Sources | TdF: Luke’s Pre-TT Analysis The Spoof | Armstrong Can Have It, Tour Riders Say FARK.com | “Apparently, Lance Armstrong could finish …” Swap Blog | Anon: Comment on Fearless – Lemond rec.bicycles.racing | TdF Stage 19 summary